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Home Opinion & Editorial Opinion

Future of Pakistan under Shade of Climate Changes

Dr. Muhammad Shahbaz by Dr. Muhammad Shahbaz
August 25, 2025
Reading Time: 4 mins read

Climate change means long-term changes in the weather patterns of the Earth. The main reason for these changes is the increase in harmful gases in the air, like carbon dioxide and methane. These gases are created when we use fuels such as coal, oil, and gas. These gases trap heat from the sun, making the Earth’s temperature get higher, which is called global warming.

For countries like Pakistan, climate change is becoming a serious problem. Although Pakistan makes only about 0.88% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions, it is one of the top five countries most affected by climate change. For Pakistan, the effects of climate change are very real, including rising temperatures, extreme weather events, melting ice, higher sea levels, and damage to natural environments. Pakistan is facing a dark future thanks to the growing effects of climate change. Recent heavy rains in August 2025 in areas like Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Azad Jammu & Kashmir led to many deaths, damaged buildings, and forced people to leave their homes.

These events are happening more often and are getting worse because of the rising global temperatures, which increase the amount of water in the air and make glaciers melt faster. This leads to sudden floods and landslides. The future risks include more damage to buildings and infrastructure, more harm to poor communities, and a great need for long-term solutions, better warning systems, and improved planning for both cities and the environment.

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The main reason for the increased global temperatures is the high levels of greenhouse gases, mainly from using fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial activities. Even though Pakistan’s direct contribution to these gases is small, it is very vulnerable because it doesn’t have the resources to adapt to these changes. Pakistan has one of the highest rates of deforestation in Asia, with forests covering just 5% of the country, which is much less than the global average. This loss of forests leads to more greenhouse gases in the air, also causes changes in how much rain falls and leads to soil erosion.

Additionally, uncontrolled city growth, heavy traffic, and pollution in major cities like Karachi, Lahore, and Faisalabad are making air quality poor and increasing urban temperatures. Climate change is not only damaging the environment but also threatening Pakistan’s economic stability. If we don’t take action, climate-related disasters will get worse. Pakistan has seen a significant rise in temperatures over the last few decades, with an average increase of about 0.5°C since the 1960s. By 2050, temperatures could rise by an extra 1.3°C to 1.5°C. In recent years, the damage caused by climate-related disasters in Pakistan has become more serious. In 2022, the World Bank reported economic losses and costs for rebuilding in flood-affected areas to be more than $40 billion. More people are expected to be affected by flooding. About 5 million people could be at risk from extreme river floods between 2035 and 2044, and around 1 million more people could be exposed to coastal flooding by 2070 to 2100.

Rainfall is becoming much more unpredictable, with some areas getting less rain and others experiencing heavy and unexpected storms. This change has already caused extreme weather events like floods and droughts. The World Bank also says that the combined risks from extreme weather events, environmental damage, and pollution could lower Pakistan’s GDP by up to 18-20% by 2050, which would slow down economic growth and make it harder to reduce poverty.

To deal with climate change, Pakistan needs to fully set up the Climate Change Authority with clear responsibilities and enough funding. It should invest in renewable energy by expanding solar and wind power to lower dependency on fossil fuels. Better water management is needed, such as building small dams, using drip irrigation, and protecting water sources. It is also important to plan for green spaces, rooftop gardens, and eco-friendly transport.

Raising public awareness through media, schools, and community programs can help people understand climate risks and how to be resilient. Early warning systems and climate-resilient infrastructure should be improved in areas that are most at risk. Pakistan can also get help from international funds like the Green Climate Fund to support adaptation and mitigation efforts.

Climate change is causing serious problems for Pakistan, affecting agriculture, water supplies, public health, and the overall economic and social situation. Even though Pakistan contributes very little to global greenhouse gas emissions, it is one of the most vulnerable countries because of its location, reliance on agriculture, and limited ability to adapt.

The increasing frequency and strength of extreme weather events like floods, droughts, and heat-waves are already putting stress on the country’s resources and infrastructure. The government has tried to address this with policies like the National Climate Change Policy and programs like the Billion Tree Tsunami. However, more needs to be done in terms of implementing these plans, getting proper funding, and increasing public awareness. The possibility of water conflicts with neighboring countries like India adds more stress to the situation, especially since water scarcity is getting worse because of climate change.

To build a resilient Pakistan, it is important to improve governance, invest in renewable energy, manage water resources better, and increase disaster preparedness. International cooperation and financial support are also essential to help Pakistan handle the impacts of climate change and deal with future challenges. A successful future for Pakistan will need a comprehensive and unified approach to climate action that combines scientific advancements, policy reforms, and local efforts. Only through consistent and sustained effort can Pakistan hope to create a sustainable and climate-resilient future for its people.

(Email: muhdshahbaz77@gmail.com)

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