The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its economic performance review for the last two years and projections for the current and upcoming fiscal years for Pakistan, highlighting expected trends in inflation, growth, and fiscal indicators.
The IMF forecasts an increase in inflation rates in Pakistan over the next fiscal year while predicting moderate growth in the economy.
| Indicator | FY 2025 (Projected) | FY 2026 (Projected) | Notes |
| Inflation Rate | 4.5% to 6.3% | Expected to reach 8.9% by June 2026. (Was 3.2% in June 2025) | Inflation is projected to accelerate significantly. |
| Economic Growth | 3.2% (Expected) | Projected to stabilize between 3.25% and 3.5% | Moderate economic recovery is anticipated. |
| Unemployment Rate | Can decrease to 7.5% | (The current rate was 8%.) | Slight improvement in the job market is expected. |
The IMF also approved two tranches worth $1.29 billion for Pakistan.
The IMF projects an improvement in fiscal indicators, including a reduction in the fiscal deficit and the overall debt burden, but notes a rise in the tax-to-GDP ratio.
A positive outlook was shared regarding foreign currency reserves.
FY 2025 Reserves: $14.5 billion
FY 2026 Reserves (Projected): Expected to reach $17.8 billion
